Sky vs Sun: WNBA Predictions and Picks for Tonight

In tonight’s final regular-season matchup, the Connecticut sky vs sun, with the Sun aiming to secure the No. 3 seed in the playoffs. Despite the temptation to rest their starters, the Sun are highly motivated to deliver a strong performance.

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Sky vs Sun Predictions

Best Bet: Sun -14 (-110 at FanDuel)

Analysis: After suffering back-to-back losses to championship contenders, the Connecticut Sun are looking for a bounce-back game against a struggling Chicago Sky team. The Sun have consistently performed well against teams with losing records, covering the spread in their last four games against such opponents.

With a recent 86-66 victory over the Sparks, Connecticut has proven they can dominate lower-ranked teams. They’ve won eight of their last nine matchups against the Sky, and even with potential resting of starters, I expect a double-digit win for the Sun.

The Sky have struggled offensively, scoring 70 points or fewer in three of their last four games, and may be without key players like Chennedy Carter and Kamilla Cardoso again. This presents a significant challenge against the Sun’s formidable defense.

With the Sun needing a victory to solidify their playoff position and avoid facing the top-seeded Liberty too early, expect star players like Alyssa Thomas and DeWanna Bonner to feature prominently. Connecticut has a strong home record of 13-6 this season, and given Chicago’s injury issues, a dominant performance seems likely at Mohegan Sun Arena.

While I’m laying the points with the Sun, the Under is also a compelling option. The Sky’s offense has been inconsistent, and their injury struggles have led to a lack of scoring depth. Chicago managed only 58 points against the Mystics last week, and the Under has hit in seven of their last ten games.

Additionally, the Under is 6-1 in the Sun’s last seven contests on one day’s rest, indicating a defensive battle tonight. Connecticut’s offense can be streaky, and with both teams attempting fewer three-pointers, I foresee a grind-it-out game.

For the Sky, Rachel Banham and Lindsay Allen have stepped up, but the overall offensive firepower is limited. Allen is coming off a strong performance, scoring 16 points against the Dream, and should continue to see increased usage.

Sky vs Sun Spread and Over/Under Analysis:

The Sun have triumphed in all three meetings against the Sky this season and are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 Thursday games. Meanwhile, Chicago has dropped four straight and is just 16-23 ATS overall.

While the Over has been successful in their recent matchups, the Under has hit in five of Connecticut’s last seven games, suggesting a lower-scoring affair is more likely tonight.